Political Analyst - Elections Forecasting

About The Job Mercor connects elite creative and technical talent with leading AI research labs. Headquartered in San Francisco, our investors include Benchmark , General Catalyst , Peter Thiel , Adam D'Angelo , Larry Summers , and Jack Dorsey .

Position: Political Expert — Elections Forecasting & Political Risk

Type: Contract Compensation: $150–$250/hour Location: Remote Role Responsibilities

• Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff.
• Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds.
• Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact.
• Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard.
• Work independently and asynchronously to meet deadlines while improving AI model performance.

Qualifications Must-Have

• A senior elections forecaster, campaign strategist, polling or statistical-methodology expert, or political-risk analyst.
• A record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds.
• Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis.
• 8+ years of direct experience or unusually strong evidence of equivalent performance.

Preferred

• Experience with top national polling and election-forecasting organizations, major decision desks, or senior analytics teams from presidential, Senate, or governor races.
• Background in political-risk desks at leading banks, funds, or firms such as Eurasia Group and EIU.

Application Process (Takes 20–30 mins to complete)

• Upload resume
• AI interview based on your resume
• Submit form

Resources & Support

• For details about the interview process and platform information, please check: https://talent.docs.mercor.com/welcome
• For any help or support, reach out to: [email protected]

PS: Our team reviews applications daily. Please complete your AI interview and application steps to be considered for this opportunity.